Industry development: growth continues
2011 is the industry peak of the global industrial robot market since 1961, with annual sales of 166,000 units. In 2012, the global sales of industrial robots was 159,000 units, a slight decline, mainly due to the decline in sales in the electrical and electronics industry, but the sales of robots in the automotive industry continued to grow.
With the improvement of the global manufacturing capacity automation level, especially the upgrading of China's manufacturing industry, it is estimated that by 2017, the global industrial robot sales will reach 250,000 units, with a compound annual growth rate of 9.5%.
According to IFR data, in 2012, the global market for personal (or household) service robots was 7.3 billion yuan, and the market for public service robots was 20.8 billion yuan. At present, the industrialization of public service robots is ahead of the market, and the market capacity is even greater.
The global industrial robot body market is dominated by China, the European Union, the United States and Japan. Japan, the United States, Germany, South Korea and China accounted for 71.24% of the world's stock, with sales reaching 69.92%.
As of the end of 2012, the cumulative sales of robots worldwide reached 2.47 million units. The average life of the robot is 12 years and the longest is 15 years. It is estimated that the global robot inventory is between 1.2 million and 1.5 million units.
In terms of regions, Asia and Australia increased by 9%, and Asia's growth was mainly driven by Chinese demand, as China's industrial robot sales in 2012 increased by 30%.
In terms of production and consumption, Japan is the only net exporter of industrial robots, with the world's largest robotic capacity, accounting for 66% of global robot production. The largest area of ​​robot consumption is in Asia except Japan, accounting for about 34% of the total, and is dominated by the Chinese market.
Industrial robot sales accounted for the machine tool sales ratio to reflect the use of robots in various countries. The rise in this proportion represents, to a certain extent, an increase in the level of robotic popularity in this country. The sales of robots in the United States, Japan, and Germany accounted for a certain range of machine tool sales (15% to 25%), indicating that the trend of robot sales in these three countries is basically consistent with the trend of machine tool sales, which also indicates that the development of the robot industry is relatively stable.
Although the sales volume of robots in China accounted for an increase in machine tool sales between 2006 and 2011, it is still at a low level, less than 5%. Therefore, the development potential of the Chinese robot industry is still very large.
The United States, Japan, and the European Union are world leaders in the development of the robotics industry, but their areas of strength are different. Japan has obvious advantages in industrial robots and home robots. The EU region is a leader in industrial robots and medical robots. The main advantages of the United States are in system integration, medical robots and defense military robots.
In the global industrial robots market, the four leading companies in the world accounted for more than 50% of revenue in 2012, making them the absolute strongest in this field.
In terms of robot system integration, in addition to the integration business of robotic ontology enterprises, well-known independent system integrators include Dürr, Muse and Comau.
In recent years, with the emergence of the trend of service robot industrialization, a series of enterprises have emerged in the field of service robots. These companies include the Intuitive Surgical Robot Company, which develops Da Vinci robots, and the IROBOT, which produces vacuum cleaner robots.
Why does Japan surpass America?
Combined with the development experience of the robot industry in developed countries, the development of the robot industry can be divided into five stages: the technical preparation period, the industrial incubation period, the industrial formation period, the industrial development period and the intelligent period. The robotics industry in the United States, Japan, and the European Union has completed the first four stages, and is currently in a period of intelligence, while the Chinese robot industry is still in its infancy.
The development of the industrial robot industry in the above countries and regions has completed the first four stages and formed their own industrial models. The US advantage is in system integration, Japan emphasizes the division of industry chain, and the EU region emphasizes the overall plan of integration and integration.
At present, China's robot industry model is closer to the US model. The reason is that the robot body cannot be localized on a large scale. It is estimated that the future development trend is similar to Japan's industrial chain division mode, provided that it truly breaks through the robot body.
Looking back at a brief history of global robotics development, industrial robots entered the factory as early as the 1960s. In 2000, robots such as the United States and Japan have been committed to developing more sophisticated technologies. Robotics has entered a period of rapid development and is moving toward an intelligent stage.
The United States is the birthplace of industrial robots, but as the manufacturing capacity shifts to Asia, its industrial robotic ontology industry is developing slowly. In the 1980s, the Japanese robot industry achieved a superb over the United States and became a "robot kingdom."
The United States is the birthplace of industrial robots, but the ontology is developing slowly. As early as 1959, the US company UNIMATION produced the world's first industrial robot UNIMATE.
However, by the 1970s and 1980s, many companies entering the robotics industry began to lose money. By examining the development of the US robotics industry around the 1980s, it was discovered that the US robotics industry experienced losses in 1979-1982. In those five years, the total loss of the American robot company exceeded the total profit before tax. The number of producers with a net loss per year exceeds the number of producers with a net profit.
Today, the United States pays more attention to the development of integrated business and robot frontier technology. There are several reasons why the United States has not developed a good robot body.
First, due to the early development of industrial robots in the United States, when the technology was not mature, the effect of robots in GM trials was very poor, and the products could not be pushed out. Later, the US economy was sluggish and workers were unemployed. In the face of unemployment, Americans have the concern that robots will rob humanity.
Second, since the Second World War, the economic shape of the United States has undergone a major transformation. The typical feature is that traditional manufacturing industries are increasingly shrinking across the economy. The manufacturing industry in the United States began to move to the four dragons in Japan, Southeast Asia and Asia from the 1970s to the 1980s. The loss of leadership in the US manufacturing industry is not limited to low-paying jobs in low-tech industries, but also extends to high-end areas. The performance is not only the trade deficit of general manufacturing products, but also the trade deficit of advanced manufacturing products.
Third, Americans pay more attention to applications in robotics, that is, system integration. Because the net profit rate of the robot body is found to be very low, Yaskawa Electric, KUKA, etc. only have a net interest rate of 2 to 3 points. In recent years, due to fierce competition in the industry, the price of robots has dropped rapidly. American companies have seen that the ontology profit space is too thin, so they do not pay attention to the body of industrial robots.
In contrast to Japan. Japan has gradually become the main producer of robots since the 1980s. Japan's first industrial robot was developed in 1969 by Kawasaki Heavy Industries and UNIMATION. In 1980, Japanese robot production far exceeded that of the United States. Since then, Japan has rapidly realized the anti-excession of the United States, the birthplace of industrial robots, in the robot industry, and has become the "robot kingdom."
The relationship between Japan's socio-economic environment and the development of the robot industry After the Second World War, Japan's rapid economic development was driven by manufacturing. From the 20-year high-speed growth period since the 1950s, 30% of Japan's GDP came from manufacturing, and the number of employees continued. increase.
After the 1980s, Japan's population growth slowed down, and the number of manufacturing workers also tended to decline. At this time, the popularity of robots enabled Japan to maintain a sustained growth in total manufacturing output. 1980 was the first year of the popularization of Japanese robots. The Japanese robot industry is constantly developing, and Japan is the main market for its robot industry.
Since 1990, the Japanese economy has entered a downturn, and domestic robot sales have stagnated, but there has been an export expansion trend.
After 2000, exports gradually occupied a large part, especially the export to China increased significantly.
Integration seeks key breakthroughs
According to the forecast of relevant institutions, the domestic industrial robot market capacity is four times in 2012, and the compound annual growth rate of the industry in the next five years is more than 30%: Among them, the main market capacity is 19.5 billion yuan, and the ontologies plus integrated market capacity is 80.7 billion yuan. The market for surgical robots in service robots is expected to reach 1.5 billion yuan, and the market for home service robots is about 3 billion yuan. If smart home is used as a home service robot, then the service robot market will be much larger.
2014 is the turning point of the robot industry: this year is the year of integration of the domestic robot industry. From the recent cooperation between Cixing and Gugao controllers, Xinshida acquired the public to know this trend; it is also the acceleration of the localization of robots. In the year, the localization of key components such as controllers and servo motors is expected to achieve major breakthroughs this year; it is also the year of low-end capacity automation demand expansion, and the automation market of the low-end manufacturing industry in the Yangtze River Delta and Pearl River Delta will be detonated.
Robots belong to the high-tech industry, and all sectors of the industry chain maintain high gross profit margins. Except for the high cost of key components and the negative value of gross profit margin of domestic robots, all links in the robot industry chain maintain a relatively high gross profit margin. Levels, where the level of gross profit of medical surgical robots is close to or above 70%.
It is estimated that the robot servo motor and drive market capacity will be 5.2 billion yuan in 2017: the servo motors and drives used by domestic robots are mainly supplied by foreign countries, but the servo motors of Eston, Kokuno, and Huichuan are progressing smoothly, 2014. It is possible to achieve a major breakthrough.
It is estimated that the robot controller market will be 880 million yuan in 2017: the robot controller is better in China, and the threshold for localization is not high. For example, the joint venture company of Cixing and Gugo, as well as the acquisition of Xinshida, is estimated to be 2014. The domestically produced controller will be heavy.
It is estimated that the robot reducer market will be 4.6 billion yuan in 2017: although the reducer is only a simple mechanical part, it is still the most difficult piece. It takes time to achieve localization.
2011 is the industry peak of the global industrial robot market since 1961, with annual sales of 166,000 units. In 2012, the global sales of industrial robots was 159,000 units, a slight decline, mainly due to the decline in sales in the electrical and electronics industry, but the sales of robots in the automotive industry continued to grow.
With the improvement of the global manufacturing capacity automation level, especially the upgrading of China's manufacturing industry, it is estimated that by 2017, the global industrial robot sales will reach 250,000 units, with a compound annual growth rate of 9.5%.
According to IFR data, in 2012, the global market for personal (or household) service robots was 7.3 billion yuan, and the market for public service robots was 20.8 billion yuan. At present, the industrialization of public service robots is ahead of the market, and the market capacity is even greater.
The global industrial robot body market is dominated by China, the European Union, the United States and Japan. Japan, the United States, Germany, South Korea and China accounted for 71.24% of the world's stock, with sales reaching 69.92%.
As of the end of 2012, the cumulative sales of robots worldwide reached 2.47 million units. The average life of the robot is 12 years and the longest is 15 years. It is estimated that the global robot inventory is between 1.2 million and 1.5 million units.
In terms of regions, Asia and Australia increased by 9%, and Asia's growth was mainly driven by Chinese demand, as China's industrial robot sales in 2012 increased by 30%.
In terms of production and consumption, Japan is the only net exporter of industrial robots, with the world's largest robotic capacity, accounting for 66% of global robot production. The largest area of ​​robot consumption is in Asia except Japan, accounting for about 34% of the total, and is dominated by the Chinese market.
Industrial robot sales accounted for the machine tool sales ratio to reflect the use of robots in various countries. The rise in this proportion represents, to a certain extent, an increase in the level of robotic popularity in this country. The sales of robots in the United States, Japan, and Germany accounted for a certain range of machine tool sales (15% to 25%), indicating that the trend of robot sales in these three countries is basically consistent with the trend of machine tool sales, which also indicates that the development of the robot industry is relatively stable.
Although the sales volume of robots in China accounted for an increase in machine tool sales between 2006 and 2011, it is still at a low level, less than 5%. Therefore, the development potential of the Chinese robot industry is still very large.
The United States, Japan, and the European Union are world leaders in the development of the robotics industry, but their areas of strength are different. Japan has obvious advantages in industrial robots and home robots. The EU region is a leader in industrial robots and medical robots. The main advantages of the United States are in system integration, medical robots and defense military robots.
In the global industrial robots market, the four leading companies in the world accounted for more than 50% of revenue in 2012, making them the absolute strongest in this field.
In terms of robot system integration, in addition to the integration business of robotic ontology enterprises, well-known independent system integrators include Dürr, Muse and Comau.
In recent years, with the emergence of the trend of service robot industrialization, a series of enterprises have emerged in the field of service robots. These companies include the Intuitive Surgical Robot Company, which develops Da Vinci robots, and the IROBOT, which produces vacuum cleaner robots.
Why does Japan surpass America?
Combined with the development experience of the robot industry in developed countries, the development of the robot industry can be divided into five stages: the technical preparation period, the industrial incubation period, the industrial formation period, the industrial development period and the intelligent period. The robotics industry in the United States, Japan, and the European Union has completed the first four stages, and is currently in a period of intelligence, while the Chinese robot industry is still in its infancy.
The development of the industrial robot industry in the above countries and regions has completed the first four stages and formed their own industrial models. The US advantage is in system integration, Japan emphasizes the division of industry chain, and the EU region emphasizes the overall plan of integration and integration.
At present, China's robot industry model is closer to the US model. The reason is that the robot body cannot be localized on a large scale. It is estimated that the future development trend is similar to Japan's industrial chain division mode, provided that it truly breaks through the robot body.
Looking back at a brief history of global robotics development, industrial robots entered the factory as early as the 1960s. In 2000, robots such as the United States and Japan have been committed to developing more sophisticated technologies. Robotics has entered a period of rapid development and is moving toward an intelligent stage.
The United States is the birthplace of industrial robots, but as the manufacturing capacity shifts to Asia, its industrial robotic ontology industry is developing slowly. In the 1980s, the Japanese robot industry achieved a superb over the United States and became a "robot kingdom."
The United States is the birthplace of industrial robots, but the ontology is developing slowly. As early as 1959, the US company UNIMATION produced the world's first industrial robot UNIMATE.
However, by the 1970s and 1980s, many companies entering the robotics industry began to lose money. By examining the development of the US robotics industry around the 1980s, it was discovered that the US robotics industry experienced losses in 1979-1982. In those five years, the total loss of the American robot company exceeded the total profit before tax. The number of producers with a net loss per year exceeds the number of producers with a net profit.
Today, the United States pays more attention to the development of integrated business and robot frontier technology. There are several reasons why the United States has not developed a good robot body.
First, due to the early development of industrial robots in the United States, when the technology was not mature, the effect of robots in GM trials was very poor, and the products could not be pushed out. Later, the US economy was sluggish and workers were unemployed. In the face of unemployment, Americans have the concern that robots will rob humanity.
Second, since the Second World War, the economic shape of the United States has undergone a major transformation. The typical feature is that traditional manufacturing industries are increasingly shrinking across the economy. The manufacturing industry in the United States began to move to the four dragons in Japan, Southeast Asia and Asia from the 1970s to the 1980s. The loss of leadership in the US manufacturing industry is not limited to low-paying jobs in low-tech industries, but also extends to high-end areas. The performance is not only the trade deficit of general manufacturing products, but also the trade deficit of advanced manufacturing products.
Third, Americans pay more attention to applications in robotics, that is, system integration. Because the net profit rate of the robot body is found to be very low, Yaskawa Electric, KUKA, etc. only have a net interest rate of 2 to 3 points. In recent years, due to fierce competition in the industry, the price of robots has dropped rapidly. American companies have seen that the ontology profit space is too thin, so they do not pay attention to the body of industrial robots.
In contrast to Japan. Japan has gradually become the main producer of robots since the 1980s. Japan's first industrial robot was developed in 1969 by Kawasaki Heavy Industries and UNIMATION. In 1980, Japanese robot production far exceeded that of the United States. Since then, Japan has rapidly realized the anti-excession of the United States, the birthplace of industrial robots, in the robot industry, and has become the "robot kingdom."
The relationship between Japan's socio-economic environment and the development of the robot industry After the Second World War, Japan's rapid economic development was driven by manufacturing. From the 20-year high-speed growth period since the 1950s, 30% of Japan's GDP came from manufacturing, and the number of employees continued. increase.
After the 1980s, Japan's population growth slowed down, and the number of manufacturing workers also tended to decline. At this time, the popularity of robots enabled Japan to maintain a sustained growth in total manufacturing output. 1980 was the first year of the popularization of Japanese robots. The Japanese robot industry is constantly developing, and Japan is the main market for its robot industry.
Since 1990, the Japanese economy has entered a downturn, and domestic robot sales have stagnated, but there has been an export expansion trend.
After 2000, exports gradually occupied a large part, especially the export to China increased significantly.
Integration seeks key breakthroughs
According to the forecast of relevant institutions, the domestic industrial robot market capacity is four times in 2012, and the compound annual growth rate of the industry in the next five years is more than 30%: Among them, the main market capacity is 19.5 billion yuan, and the ontologies plus integrated market capacity is 80.7 billion yuan. The market for surgical robots in service robots is expected to reach 1.5 billion yuan, and the market for home service robots is about 3 billion yuan. If smart home is used as a home service robot, then the service robot market will be much larger.
2014 is the turning point of the robot industry: this year is the year of integration of the domestic robot industry. From the recent cooperation between Cixing and Gugao controllers, Xinshida acquired the public to know this trend; it is also the acceleration of the localization of robots. In the year, the localization of key components such as controllers and servo motors is expected to achieve major breakthroughs this year; it is also the year of low-end capacity automation demand expansion, and the automation market of the low-end manufacturing industry in the Yangtze River Delta and Pearl River Delta will be detonated.
Robots belong to the high-tech industry, and all sectors of the industry chain maintain high gross profit margins. Except for the high cost of key components and the negative value of gross profit margin of domestic robots, all links in the robot industry chain maintain a relatively high gross profit margin. Levels, where the level of gross profit of medical surgical robots is close to or above 70%.
It is estimated that the robot servo motor and drive market capacity will be 5.2 billion yuan in 2017: the servo motors and drives used by domestic robots are mainly supplied by foreign countries, but the servo motors of Eston, Kokuno, and Huichuan are progressing smoothly, 2014. It is possible to achieve a major breakthrough.
It is estimated that the robot controller market will be 880 million yuan in 2017: the robot controller is better in China, and the threshold for localization is not high. For example, the joint venture company of Cixing and Gugo, as well as the acquisition of Xinshida, is estimated to be 2014. The domestically produced controller will be heavy.
It is estimated that the robot reducer market will be 4.6 billion yuan in 2017: although the reducer is only a simple mechanical part, it is still the most difficult piece. It takes time to achieve localization.
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